1.31.2011

China to create largest mega city in the world with 42 million people

Jim Grant: "The Fed Is Now In The Business Of Manipulating The Stock Market...Should Confess It Has Sinned Grievously"

IMF Sees Europe's Debt as Top Recovery Threat

Ireland's Voters Ready to Confront Rest of Euro Zone

This might not be such a bad time for deficit reduction

Buy euros – the single currency is finished

Warning shot for America and Europe as S&P downgrades Japan

The unrest in Egypt could boost US stocks

The Real State of the Union: A Rescue Plan for the U.S. Economy

We're very close to a great buying opportunity in gold

Where to next for the euro?

1.24.2011

Stunner: Gold Standard Fully Supported By... Alan Greenspan!?

You read that right. After such establishment "luminaries" as World Bank president Robert Zoellick, Warren Buffett's father Howard, Jim Grant, and, most recently, Kansas Fed president Thomas Hoenig, all voiced their support for a return to a gold standard, the most recent addition to the motley group of contrite voodoo shamans is none othe than the man who is singlehandedly responsible for America's addiction to cheap toxic credit, who spawned such destroyers of the middle class as the current Chaircreature, and who currently is the chief advisor in John Paulson's crusade to gobble up every ounce of deliverable physical in the world: former Fed Chairman - Alan Greenspan! In an interview with Fox Business, the man who refuses to go away into that good night: "We have at this particular stage a fiat money which is essentially money printed by a government and it's usually a central bank which is authorized to do so. Some mechanism has got to be in place that restricts the amount of money which is produced, either a gold standard or a currency board, because unless you do that all of history suggest that inflation will take hold with very deleterious effects on economic activity...

Spain to rescue its banks

Bank talks stuck in deadlock on lending

George Osborne has 53bn reasons to ignore cries for revenge on the banks

Appeasement is the proper policy towards Confucian China

1.21.2011


SocGen crafts strategy for China hard-landing

Putting growth before inflation will be the ruin of us

Six golden rules for profitable investing

China Monetary Policy: Inflation Won't Last – Growth Will

1.20.2011

States Warned of $2 Trillion Pensions Shortfall

Sell Gold, Buy Silver

Spain Cancels Market Auction, As It, Portugal And Belgium Go Syndicate, Spook Bond Investors (Again)

Hu Gets Full State Honors as Visit Displays Obama's Dueling Views of China

Europe fears motives of Chinese super-creditor

France and Germany veto increase in EU rescue fund

US property looks cheap – but not quite cheap enough

Why coal is the fuel of the future

Questor share tip: Rio Tinto is a buy but must diversify to show true mettle

Strong China growth boosted by near £1 trillion of loans

Can Apple blossom without Steve Jobs?

Myth and reality in world energy famine

Brazil slams brakes to curb inflation, risking hot money tsunami

Goldman Sachs shuns the BRICs for Wall Street

1.12.2011

At Least One Euro-Zone Country Could Go Bankrupt

Billions in loans have succeeded in pulling Greece and Ireland back from the brink of bankruptcy. But many bankers are still expecting the worst. A new Ernst & Young survey reports that almost half of German banking executives think at least one euro-zone country will go belly up.

Japan to buy euro zone bonds, but markets expect little impact

Japan said Tuesday it was ready to buy euro zone bonds in a mark of support for the struggling trading bloc. Analysts say Tokyo could do with some goodwill after its market intervention to curb the yen drew fire from its trading partners.

Continued U.S. Housing Price Decline Won’t Derail the U.S. Economic Rebound

U.S. housing prices still have further to fall -perhaps a lot further. In fact, depending upon the circumstances, the additional price declines could be quite steep. But here's the shocker: That decline won't necessarily cause a "double-dip" recession. In fact, it probably won't even derail the U.S. economic recovery. Let me explain.

How low will gold go?

Gold and silver have both entered a correction phase. Gold began 2011 at around $1,420 an ounce. By the end of last week, it was more than 3% lower at $1,370. Silver, meanwhile, toasted the New Year at around $31 an ounce. Celebrations were due – it had risen some 80% in 2010 – but the hangover quickly set in. A week later it was down more than 5% at around $28.60. Meanwhile, at $34, Silver Wheaton – one of the leading silver stocks – is now down over 20% from its early December high of $42. That's quite a wallop. But gold and silver have had a stellar 12 months. This correction is overdue. And it's one that I welcome. Nothing goes up in a straight line and all that. Ultimately, it will add to the longevity of this bull market.

The biggest threat to growth is public policy

One of the positives to emerge from the banking crisis was the way in which it galvanised countries across the globe into a common policy response. It seemed to work. A depression was averted. Output for the world economy as a whole is back above pre-crisis levels and growth is again strong.

Portugal defiant as pressure builds for rescue

Portugal's leaders vowed yesterday to overcome the country's debt woes without the need for an EU-IMF loan package, despite dissent within its own central bank and pressure from northern Europe for a fast resolution of the crisis.

1.11.2011

Banks Lose Pivotal Foreclosure Case in Massachusetts High Court

US Bancorp and Wells Fargo & Co. lost a foreclosure case in Massachusetts’s highest court that will guide lower courts in that state and may influence others in the clash between bank practices and state real estate law. The ruling drove down bank stocks.

Crisis Is 'Systemic' for Europe: Greek Finance Minister

Greek Finance Minister George Papanconstantinou sought to reassure investors over the country’s debt burden on Tuesday, saying spreads between Greek and German bonds were high because of broader market turbulence rather than a real threat of default.

Could the Federal Reserve Become Insolvent?

The U.S. Federal Reserve's journey to the outer limits of monetary policy is raising concerns about how hard it will be to withdraw trillions of dollars in stimulus from the banking system when the time is right. Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, DC. While that day seems distant now, some economists and market analysts have even begun pondering the unthinkable: could the vaunted Fed, the world's most powerful central bank, become insolvent? Almost by definition, the answer is no.

Gallup Finds Unemployment at 9.6% in December

Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 9.6% at the end of December -- up from 9.3% in mid-December and 8.8% at the end of November.

What Portugal's plight means for the euro

Poor old Portugal. Christmas delivered a brief respite. But it's a long 12 months until December rolls around again. And the markets seem convinced that way before then, Portugal will have held out its hand for a bail-out from the European Union, the International Monetary Fund, or whoever else holds all the money these days.

1.10.2011

The biggest threat to the eurozone – Germany's recovery

The eurozone seems to have a new saviour - China. This morning, one central bank official declared that "the euro and the European financial markets… are and will be one of the most important investment areas for China's foreign-exchange reserves." And earlier this week, the country pledged to buy more Spanish government debt. And yet, European debt has suddenly started worrying the markets again. The euro slid sharply against the dollar yesterday. And government bond yields were heading higher too. So what's got investors fretting again all of a sudden?

What's Really Behind Goldman's Facebook Investment

Facebook has raised $500 million from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Russian investment firm Digital Sky Technologies, which implies that the social media darling is valued at a staggering $50 billion. This reminds me of the valuations being assigned to Internet companies leading up to the "dot.bomb" crash. There's no way a company that relies on nothing more than bits of information – the vast majority of which are summarily ignored by the community that supposedly finds it so compelling – should have a valuation approaching The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS), equal to The Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA), and greater than Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX).

Don't invest in the UK high street

Britain's economy is suffering from a split personality. Our manufacturing industries are booming. Output, export orders and employment are all rising fast, according to the latest survey of UK factory activity. The headline PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) reading has just hit a 16-year high of 58.3. That's streets ahead of the key '50' level that marks the split between contraction and growth. By contrast, the high street seems to be fast becoming a disaster zone. So what does this mean for investors?

An Open Letter to Washington: How to Slash the Federal Budget Deficit and Save the U.S. Economy

In this open letter to U.S. President Barack Obama and members of Congress, Hutchinson outlines a five-point plan that will essentially save the U.S. economy.

ARM: a UK technology company we can be proud of

Those so quick to write off UK plc should sit up and take note. Today’s alliance with Microsoft has confirmed Cambridge-based Arm Holding’s position as a world beating technology company.

Imbalances between East and West will grow and grow

"If something cannot go on forever, it will stop", Herb Stein, President Nixon's economic adviser, once said in one of those statements of the blindingly obvious which has since assumed the status of Delphic wisdom.

EMU debt crisis edges ever closer to the core

The eurozone's debt crisis is once again in danger of spiralling out of control after yields on Portuguese debt spiked to a post-EMU high and contagion hit Spain and Belgium.

Deepening crisis traps America's have-nots

The US is drifting from a financial crisis to a deeper and more insidious social crisis. Self-congratulation by the US authorities that they have this time avoided a repeat of the 1930s is premature.

1.04.2011

Chile opts for record intervention to stem peso rise

* Peso seen weakening immediately on intervention move * Doubts over intervention's long-term effectiveness * Chile joins regional peers after mounting pressure * Dollar purchases to start Jan. 5, continue to late Dec.

Must See: Howard Davidowitz Destroys The Recovery Illusion, Debunks The Consumer Renaissance

There should not be recovery on real estate prices

How China's inflation will affect your investments in 2011

Happy New Year! I hope you had a great Christmas. China delivered a slightly unusual Christmas present for the markets this year: an interest rate hike. It was just a little one. Nothing to rattle the horses too badly. And it hasn't stopped the bull market in commodities – copper has continued to hit record highs, for example. But it's a warning of what's likely to be one of the biggest themes of the year – how the rest of the world will cope as China goes into inflation-fighting mode...

Investors' intentions for 2011 hold some surprises

There's no particular reason to choose this time of year to re-assess our investments, but a surfeit of spare time and a seasonal urge to do better ensures that many of us will be doing so this weekend.

Estonia's step away from Russia no guide for others to join the rocky euro

Poland and the Czech Republic can afford to take their time before committing irrevocably to the rocky euro. For Estonia and fellow Baltic states, EMU is a strategic imperative.

1.03.2011

My thoughts

Regarding the main items discussed in the before four posted articles I believe:

  • U.S. unemployment situation will not dramatically change;

  •  The only way Real State in U.S.can improve is with subsidies from the government, so forclosures will continue increasing;
  • Municipal debt problems could be a potential source of future crisis;
  • I do not expect more QE because there appears to be signals of inflation;
  •  I don't believe China will change its currency exchange rate policy unless it should be for Chinas convenience;
  • China will continue their strategic acquisitions (resources and agricultural commodities); 
  • EU will face more sovereign debt problems;

  • Initially stock market will over react;
  • With uncertainly gold price will increase;
  •  Upon crisis there were two different ways to follow: ortodoxial one and that we are following. If Bernanke has the ability to understand when it is needed to switch to the ortodoxial way (i.e when inflation rate needs increase in interest rates to acomodate) may be there is a chance for sucess, if he fails alll was a matter of time;
  •  Us is far of hyperinflation. To better understand how it works see http://www.hiperinflacion-uca.com.ar/descarga.php.

German Inflation Unexpectedly Quickens as Prices Jump Most in Eight Years

Inflation in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, unexpectedly accelerated in December as prices surged in the final month of the year.

White House Warns Failure to Raise Debt Ceiling Would Mean Economic 'Crisis'

The top White House economic adviser warned lawmakers Sunday that the United States faces a catastrophe if Congress does not raise the debt ceiling, as spend-averse Republicans indicated they'd be willing to support the increase so long as certain conditions are met. The debt ceiling debate is one of the first major legislative clashes on tap as lawmakers return to Washington this coming week for the start of the 112th Congress. The $13.9 trillion national debt is creeping closer to its $14.3 trillion ceiling, and a vote to increase that limit is expected in the spring.

Gold, Dollar, Euro & China: Four To Tango in 2011

For the most part of 2010, the typical image of Europe—one of cultural sophistication—has been replaced by widespread riots, burning cars, large scale strikes over labor reform and unemployment resulting from austerity measures amid a sovereign debt crisis in the region.

ROBERT SHILLER: If House Prices Keep Falling This Fast, The Economy Is Screwed

Housing guru Robert Shiller says the decline in October's Case-Shiller house-price index was much worse than expected (over 10% annualized).

China Cuts Export Quotas for Rare Earths by 35%

China cut its export quotas for rare earths by 35 percent in the first round of permits for 2011, threatening to extend a global shortage of the minerals needed for smartphones, hybrid cars and guided missiles.

China Trade Minister Sees 'Chronic' Euro Debt Problem

here are no quick fixes for Europe's debt crisis and China must be on the alert for any escalation of the problem, especially in January and February, China's Commerce Minister Chen Deming was quoted as saying on Friday.

No End In Sight To Equity Outflows As Stock Boycott Persists Despite Largest Bond Outflow Since Lehman Failure

For the second week in a row, those claiming that flows will any.minute.now. shift away from bonds and go to equities are proven dead wrong. ICI has just reported that in the week ended December 15, not only was there another massive outflow, the 33rd in a row, from domestic equity mutual funds to the tune of $2.4 billion, but taxable and municipal bonds saw a stunning $8.6 billion in outflows, including another record $4.9 billion in muni outflows.

IMF says completes 403.3 tonnes gold sales program

The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday it had concluded the sale of 403.3 tonnes of gold under a program approved in September 2009 to help boost its lending resources.

James Turk - Writing on the Wall, Hyperinflation is Very Near

With gold and silver consolidating recent gains, King World News interviewed James Turk out of Spain. When asked about the action in both gold and silver Turk stated, “Rising interest rates along with the surge in commodity prices that we have been seeing in the back half of this year is writing on the wall that hyperinflation is very near. If anyone needs further proof just look at what QE2 is already doing. The Fed is turning government debt that the market doesn’t want into currency which is the cause of all hyperinflation.”

Serious problems ahead for the British pound

Last week the British pound fell 3.0% against the US dollar. Some say it was because of UK bank exposure to Spain, which Moody’s warned could be downgraded. Others blamed the UK’s close economic link and heavy debt exposure to Ireland, which Moody’s did actually downgrade last week by 5-levels to Baa1. This low grade is barely above junk status. These downgrades in different corners of Europe no doubt had some impact on Sterling’s weakness, but there is I think another factor closer to home. It is the growing awareness of the runaway spending and borrowing by the British government. Despite all the rhetoric and promised cuts in spending by the newly elected coalition, the hard fact is that government spending and borrowing continue to soar – and look as if they are spiraling out of control. The following chart illustrates the magnitude of the problem as UK government debt nears £1 trillion.

Gold: Currency Wars and China

Once again gold has made fresh highs as the Fed prepares its second or is it the third round of quantitative easing (a.k.a. money printing) which involves buying assets (a.k.a debt) to drive down yields and hopefully stimulate more borrowing and spending. Two years after the Lehman collapse and implosion of the housing sector, the financial system is still on life support. With an anaemic domestic market of lost jobs, lost homes and lost income, the Americans, Europe and Japan are trying the familiar false remedies of subsidies and competitive devaluations to give exports a boost. And now the sovereign debt troubles of the weaker members of the euro-zone threaten to take the system down again.

Saving the Euro - Merkel's Ironic Victory in Brussels

It hasn't been an easy year for the EU, or for Angela Merkel. She played chief skeptic during the euro crisis, but the role ironically led her to forge a rescue mechanism for the continent's embattled currency.

Bernanke’s problem

Ben Bernanke in a recent interview on CBS said the following: “Well, this fear of inflation, I think is way overstated. We’ve looked at it very, very carefully. We’ve analyzed it every which way. One myth that’s out there is that what we’re doing is printing money. We’re not printing money. The amount of currency in circulation is not changing. The money supply is not changing in any significant way. What we’re doing is lowering interest rates by buying treasury securities. And by lowering interest rates, we hope to stimulate the economy to grow faster. So, the trick is to find the appropriate moment when to begin to unwind this policy. And that’s what we’re going to do.”

2011 Energy Prices and Speculator's Role in Oil Trade

Some important questions and answers for 2011

Beware of Underestimating China

We've talked a lot about China in recent years – about its miraculous growth, the strain it puts on the world's resources, and the fact that China's leaders seem to “get” the emerging commodity squeeze in ways that Western leaders do not.

High inflation is a cock-up not a conspiracy

Recent news about inflation has all been in one direction – up. As a result, those who had been warning about the inflation danger have been crowing.

China slows as tightening start to bite

China's industrial growth has begun to slow as a string of measures to choke excess credit and control inflation feed through the economy, threatening to curb the country's voracious appetite for commodities.

Italy's debt costs approach red zone

Italy's borrowing costs have jumped to the highest level since the financial crisis over two years ago, raising concerns that Europe's biggest debtor may slip from the eurozone's stable core into the high-risk group on the periphery.

One of the biggest threats facing investors in 2011

Suddenly, everyone's a bull on the US. The Dow has climbed back to where it was before Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008. And it seems that investors' attitudes have flipped to match. Nomura's 2011 client poll shows that 26% of the firm's customers now see America as the country "most likely to see a growth surprise on the upside" next year. That's almost double the percentage for anywhere else. Even arch-bear Professor Nouriel Roubini has just conceded that the US economy could grow by 3% in 2011. Yet a real US 'nasty' could be set to bite markets in 2011…

Motorola 4G Phone Comes to Verizon – Will the iPhone be Next?

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) last week struck a deal to make Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) the first handset maker to enter the market using the carrier's new, fourth-generation (4G) high-speed network. The network, which employs a technology called Long-Term Evolution (LTE), is designed to provide wireless Internet connections fast enough to compete with land-based cable modems or fiber optic technology. "We've got LTE smartphones on the horizon," Stratton told The Wall Street Journal in an interview. "Motorola will be right there."

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