6.27.2012

While Banks Crumble, The Next Leg Up For Gold Prices Draws Near

Something's afoot in the world of high stakes finance. The Basel Committee for Bank Supervision (BCBS) is about to decide something crucial to bankers, sovereign nations, and gold investors alike. As part of the Bank of International Settlements (BIS), the BCBS is reviewing the upcoming new Basel III rules. That may sound arcane to you but I promise it's not. Though rarely discussed in the mainstream press, the all-important Bank of International Settlements is essentially a global central bank to the world's central banks. Its goal is ostensibly to provide global stability to the monetary and financial systems. And in a surprise twist that only a few years ago would have been considered preposterous, the BCBS is entertaining whether gold should qualify as a full-fledged Tier 1 capital asset.

The rare metal that’s got Warren Buffett excited

Is it time to buy American banks?

Why Ford (NYSE: F) Wants to Put a Robot in Your Driver's Seat

Barbarian hoard

Chile Is Latest Country To Launch Renminbi Swaps And Settlement

Recovery still five years away, Mervyn King warns

Spain Poised for Downgrade to Junk as Default Swaps Near Records

Egan-Jones cuts Germany on exposure to euro zone

Stockton bankruptcy is hard hit for city retirees

Consumer Confidence in U.S. Declines to a Five-Month Low

Angela Merkel defies Latin Europe and the IMF on bond rescue

Debt crisis: desperate Monti needs Merkel summit deal to stop revolt at home

G20 summit: perils of a half-baked rescue for Spain and Italy

Spain pleads for ECB rescue as bond markets slam shut

Greece will have to leave EMU whoever is elected

Debt crisis: ECB last hope as dam breaks in Spain

Debt crisis: Germany signals shift on €2.3 trillion redemption fund for Europe

Debt crisis: Bundesbank scuppers all talk of EU banking union

6.10.2012

Mobile Wallet Technology: Warming up For the Battle Royale

The mobile wallet movement is inevitable. But so are the bumps in the road. If there's anything that's going to delay the mobile wallet's future on a global scale rivaling, well, telephony itself, it's going to be because there are so many players and stakeholders tilling the same soil to sow what they hope to reap. The fact that so many giants and would-be giants are trying to make their networks and systems-in-development the standard mobile wallet platform ensures a battle royale. The development race will be just that, a race. But, in the end there will only be a few competitors and everyone else will cease chasing the Holy Grail and fall in under one or another network. But, because we're investors seeking an edge and know that by the time the end-game is resolved the big money will have been made, we are looking for a "heads-up" on where to place our bets early.

Good News for Gold Prices: Commodities are Wounded, But Far From Dead

Greece is frozen in a political stalemate. Youth unemployment is running at over 50%. And there has been a $1 billion run on Greek banks. From near and afar, there appears to be no easy way out, especially now that the Eurozone is heading back into a recession. It's times like these when investors pour into the U.S. dollar for its "perceived safety." With commodities priced in U.S. dollars, this spike in the greenback has sent commodities-including gold prices-into a tailspin since early March. That has many doubters asking: "Has the commodities super-cycle ended?" It's a reasonable question considering the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI) is back down to levels it last saw in September 2010. What's more, gold prices have backed off to near $1,500/oz., and oil prices have fallen from $110 to $90/barrel. But as you'll see, the commodities coin does have another side.

A Liberty Investor's Guide to Latin America

Words, indeed, are powerful things. As an Englishman in America, my personal favorite is freedom. It's embodied by those words penned so long ago by a young Thomas Jefferson... It's the idea that "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness." That's not only the foundation for what I believe, but it's also the basis for how I invest. It's a technique I call "Liberty Investing." As such I like to invest in countries and companies whose operations are compatible with freedom, as defined by the Founding Fathers and the best U.S. political and economic traditions. To me, this is ultimately the right way to run both societies and companies. And when we follow them, our returns will be consistently superior over the long term.

UK banks sitting on £40bn of undeclared losses

Japan's fiscal death is a warning to the West

Investing in Japan: Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel?

Most people have given up on investing in Japan. With an aging population and far too much government debt, the conventional wisdom is that Japan will never again see the vigorous economic growth it once enjoyed. The earthquake and tsunami of March 2011 only reinforced this view. However, that tragic episode did have another side. It showed the resilience and discipline of Japanese society. There was almost no looting, for example -- and recent economic data suggest that the Japanese economy is not as dead as it seemed. First quarter Japanese gross domestic product (GDP) came in at an annual growth rate of 4.1% --far higher than the United States, Canada, Australia, or anywhere in the Eurozone. Given that Japan has been in perpetual near-recession for 21 years, with no surges of productivity like the U.S. enjoyed in the late 1990s, it's really not a bad performance. You can also see Japan's true strength from its exchange rate, which is currently 79 yen to the dollar, up from around 120 five years ago. That makes visiting Tokyo very expensive. However, it's also sign of a highly competitive economy.

No One Is Talking About The Chinese Move That Is Even More Important Than The Rate Cut.

China is heading for a well needed crash

When I look at China it scares me - it brings back dark memories of July 1997. I was working as an analyst in an office above the Hard Rock Café in Kuala Lumpur. For months, investors had been fleeing the country in the wake of a devastating currency crisis. I had a front row seat during the total collapse of a major economy. It proved an invaluable lesson in the pitfalls of investing in Asia. I remember a stern statement sent to a leading tycoon to top up many millions of dollars as collateral or face immediate legal action; I remember the pulsating trading rooms emptying; I remember companies slamming the doors to investors as managements became preoccupied with a fight for survival. It was very unpleasant. OK, the traffic in the business district was definitely lighter for a few weeks – it was a lot easier to get home at night. But the troubling thing was just how quickly an economy can go into deep-freeze. And when you think about China today, that’s the episode that you need to bear in mind.

Spain too big for EU rescue fund as China recoils

Spain makes plea for EU aid for troubled banks

Portugal props up banks with €6.6bn

BIS warns global lending contracting at fastest pace since 2008 Lehman crisis

The week that Europe stopped pretending

Spanish rescue draws closer as Cyprus buckles

Spain faces 'total emergency' as fear grips markets

Europe’s debtors must pawn their gold for Eurobond Redemption

Spain's Rajoy fights losing battle to stave off EU rescue

Europe's Maquina Infernal has crippled Spain

Europe's slump deepens as Kabuki summit falls short

Debt crisis: Germany holds a gun to Greece's head

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